CEDAR LAKE | The Hanover Community School Corp. can expect stable enrollment over the next 20 years, so long as the area’s housing market stays healthy.
Current trends point to a relatively low birth rate and graduates leaving the area rather than staying in the district, demographer Jerry McKibben told the School Board. However, developers continue to build and new families continue to move in, a trend which seems likely to continue.
McKibben, a South Carolina consultant who once served as demographer for Indiana, was hired by Hanover to spotlight demographic trends for planning purposes.
“(He told me) ‘the good news is, you (won’t get) significantly smaller,’” Superintendent Thomas Taylor said. "'The bad news is, you (won’t get) significantly larger.'"
“I’m a demographer, not a soothsayer,” said McKibben, cautioning that outside factors could impact Hanover schools’ rate of growth.
For example, if a major employer closed its doors and moved out of state, growth might slow significantly.
However, Hanover is well-positioned when compared to other school districts, which are “losing kids right and left,” Thomas said.
“The mere fact you are (going) to hold your own speaks volumes,” McKibben said.